摘要
RegionalclimatechangeinChinaundertheIPCCA2Scenario,wassimulatedforcontinuous10-yrperiodbytheMM5V3,usingtheoutputofanIPCCA2runfromCISROMark3climatesystemmodelaslateralandsurfaceboundaryconditions.Theregionalclimatechangeofsurfaceairtemperature,precipitation,andcirculationwereanalyzed.Theresultsshowedthat(1)thedistributionofmeancirculation,surfaceairtemperature,andprecipitationwasreproducedbytheMM5V3.TheregionalclimatemodelwascapabletoimprovetheregionalclimatesimulationdrivenbyGCM.(2)TheclimatechangesimulationundertheIPCCA2ScenarioindicatedthatthesurfaceairtemperatureinChinawouldincreaseinthefuture,withastrongertrendinwinterandtheincreasingmagnitudefromthesouthtothenorth.Theprecipitationdistributionwouldappearadistinctchangeaswell.AnnualmeanprecipitationwouldremarkablyincreaseinNortheastChina,YangtzeandHuaiheRiverValley,andthesouthareaofthevalley.Meanwhile,rainfallwouldshowadecreasingtrendinpartialareasofNorthChina,andmanyregionsofSouthwestandNorthwestChina.
出版日期
2009年01月11日(中国Betway体育网页登陆平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)