摘要
Monthlymeansurfaceairtemperaturesandprecipitationat20meteorologicalstationsintheJinshaRiverValley(JRV)ofsouthwestChinawereanalyzedfortemporal-spatialvariationpatternsduringtheperiod1961-2010.ThemagnitudeofatrendwasestimatedusingSen’sNonparametricEstimatorofSlopeapproach.ThestatisticalsignificanceofatrendwasassessedbytheMKtest.Theresultsshowedthatmeanannualairtemperaturehasbeenincreasingby0.08℃/decadeduringthepast50yearsasawhole.Theclimatechangetrendinairtemperaturewasmoresignificantinthewinter(0.13℃/decade)thaninthesummer(0.03℃/decade).Annualprecipitationtendedtoincreaseslightlythereafterandtheincreasingwasmainlyduringthecrop-growingseason.Boththegreatestvariationoftheannualmeantemperatureandannualprecipitationwereobservedatthedry-hotvalleyareaofmiddlereaches.Significantwarmingrateswerefoundintheupperreacheswhereasthedry-hotbasinsofmiddlereachesexperiencedacoolingtrendduringthepastdecades.Despiteoftheoverallincreasinginprecipitation,moreobviousupward-trendswerefoundinthedry-hotbasinsofmiddlereacheswhereastheupperreacheshadadroughttrendduringthepastdecades.
出版日期
2016年02月12日(中国Betway体育网页登陆平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)